DRAFT POTENTIAL:
- Day One: NOPE
- Day Two: IT’S A SAFE BET
In 2005 the Steelers had what was probably the best safety tandem in the league. Always-solid Chris Hope was the starter at free safety, and of course there was the incomparable Troy Polamalu at strong safety. No one plays the position better than Polamalu — period. It was a match made in heaven, thanks to Polamalu’s presence and play near the line combined with Hope’s range and coverage skills.
Then things went awry.
Following the Super Bowl, the face at free safety changed. For four years, Chris Hope was the man, but he left as a free agent for Tennessee, and was replaced by former Redskin Ryan Clark. Clark had acceptable, but certainly not exceptional, numbers in his two seasons in Washington, and the two seasons before that with the Giants. He’s a strong backup and a capable starter, but he wasn’t an ample replacement for Hope, who was quickly becoming one of the best free safeties in the league. Hope played center field like…well…a centerfielder. There were few opportunities for him to defend passes, because no one — no one — threw deep over the middle against the Steelers.
So, when Hope left, the future for the Steelers’ secondary got a little fuzzy, with the acquisition of Clark doing little to clear it up. Even Polamalu voiced his concern, stating that he and Hope played so well together because they knew what the other would do in any situation.
In the draft last year, the Steelers picked up an excellent prospect in Anthony Smith, possibly with the knowledge that their free agent pick-up was less than stellar, at best. He has the kind of range and closing speed that Hope possesses, and even at just 192 pounds, he hits like a brick. In fact, his ability to knock just about any player flat on his back is probably the strongest of his assets. He showed that as a special teams standout in 2006.
That’s not to detract from his abilities in coverage, though. He was used sparingly in coverage until week 13 — possibly because of his rookie status, or possibly because former coach Bill Cowher wasn’t as focused as he should have been — but made his time count once he was on the field regularly. In that stretch he racked up 18 of his 26 tackles for the season and pulled down two interceptions.
On the other side of the field, not much changed in 2006. Mike Logan still backed up Polamalu, and did it well enough to get by. Logan has never been a standout, and it’s hard to play second fiddle to someone as naturally gifted and intelligent as Polamalu, but he did what was asked of him. Polamalu’s play seemed to be off a little in 2006, due at least in part to a nagging shoulder injury and a concussion that caused him to miss three games. While his statistical output per game was right in line with his previous seasons, he didn’t seem to be able to play the run nearly as well and wasn’t delivering the bone-jarring hits he’s been known for. He made more mental mistakes as well, including two ill-timed personal fouls early in the season.
Now for the future: two safeties are likely on their way out of Pittsburgh. Tyrone Carter and Mike Logan are both free agents, and as of now there has been no sign of interest in them from Pittsburgh — or any other team, for that matter. In all likelihood, one of them will be gone, presumably Carter. Logan may be re-signed for depth if nothing else, but he’s entering his 10th season so his re-signing is a toss-up at best.
On top of that, Polamalu is entering the final year of his contract. At this point, his re-signing needs to become a top priority for the Steelers, as he is the heart and soul of the defense, especially now that Joey Porter is gone. Polamalu is not the type of talent that should be set free under any circumstances.
While Polamalu will in all probability be re-signed before he ever hits the free agency market next year, the immediate need is depth at the position — which is becoming a recurring theme in Before the Draft. A pick for strong safety is likely, especially if Logan isn’t re-signed by draft day. There may also be a few hidden gems among those who don’t get drafted. It’s often hard to gauge the abilities of a safety in college, partly because the position gets the least attention of all on defense, and partly because the offenses in college tend to differ noticeably from those used in the pros, particularly in the percentage of passes made downfield. However, don’t epect a day-one pick at this position; more likely, expect it in round six or seven. There’s just not as much immediate need here as there is everywhere else.
Odd Little Fact: There seems to be a little disagreement on how tall Anthony Smith is. ESPN and CBS agree that he’s 5′ 11″. Rivals.com have him at 6′ 1″ in his college profile. Did all those hard hits collapse his spine a few inches?